Limited access to liver transplantation and TIPS despite high mortality, healthcare resource use and costs of cirrhosis in Germany

Background and Aims: Data on number of patients with cirrhosis in Germany are limited. We therefore aimed to estimate prevalence, comorbidities, mortality, utilization of healthcare resources and costs of patients with cirrhosis and incidence of decompensation of cirrhosis in Germany.

Methods: This longitudinal observational study was based on an anonymized representative claims database including 4.9 million persons insured by a statutory health insurance (SHI) between 2015–2020. Patients with decompensated and compensated cirrhosis were selected via diagnostic ICD codes and followed for 2 years.

Results: Prevalence of cirrhosis in 2015 was 250/100 000, resulting in 201 747 (95% CI: 197 540–206 040) patients extrapolated to the German population. Out of all patients with compensated cirrhosis in 2015 who did not deceased, 16.0% developed a decompensation within 3 years. Overall, 978 patients (Ø‐age: 68 years; 60% male) were included in the decompensated, and 5135 patients (Ø‐age: 66 years; 59% male) in the compensated cirrhosis cohort. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis had a higher burden of comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index 7.3 vs. 4.4) and 3 times higher costs per quarter (7172 € vs. 2213 €) than patients with compensated cirrhosis. 1‐year mortality after decompensation was 51% compared to 8% in compensated cirrhosis. Of note, only few patients with decompensated cirrhosis received a liver transplantation or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) (1% and 5%).

Conclusion: Patients with cirrhosis have a high healthcare burden in especially decompensated stage. Accordingly, 1‐year mortality of decompensated cirrhosis in Germany is high. Despite high health resource utilization, only few patients have access to liver transplantation or TIPS.