000K utf8 0100 1806098725 1100 2021$c2021-06-10 1500 eng 2051 10.1111/eufm.12325 3000 Basse, Tobias 3010 Gonzalez, Miguel Rodriguez 3010 Kunze, Frederik 3010 Saft, Danilo 4000 Leading indicators for US house prices: new evidence and implications for EU financial risk managers [Basse, Tobias] 4060 22 Seiten 4209 This study draws on machine learning as a means to causal inference for econometric investigation. We utilize the concept of transfer entropy to examine the relationship between the US National Association of Home Builders Index and the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Home Price Index (SPCS20). The empirical evidence implies that the survey data can help to predict US house prices. This finding extends the results of Granger causality tests performed by Rodriguez Gonzalez et al. in 2018 using a new machine learning approach that methodologically differs from traditional methods in empirical financial research. 4950 https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12325$xR$3Volltext$534 4961 http://uri.gbv.de/document/gvk:ppn:1806098725 5051 330 5550 financial risk management 5550 leading indicators 5550 machine learning 5550 transfer entropy 5550 US house prices